Politics

Fox News’ Ratings Take a Nosedive

Somewhere, Keith Olbermann is sticking pins in a Bill O’Reilly voodoo doll: Fox News’ ratings, TVNewser reports, are down since August of last year. Like, way down. Like down 28 percent in primetime among all viewers, and down 7 percent in daytime viewership overall.

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As is always the case, sooner or later almost everyone starts to get it. It happened with Vietnam and Watergate. Sometimes it takes longer than we’d like, but by and by most people start to figure things out on their own. Seeing the Bush team deal with Katrina live and in real time opened a lot of eyes, I’m sure.

Fox News is a joke. It’s non-news for stupid people. I changed dentists because I didn’t appreciate paying for the privilege of being forced to listen to Fox News at top volume while having my teeth cleaned.

But the design of Fox News is far from funny. I don’t watch it voluntarily, but I’ve seen it enough in public places to recognize some of the structural elements. Ever notice how they manage to find whacked-out, space-case “Liberals” to serve as straw men to be blown down by the mighty intellect of Bill O’Reilly? Of course, the New York Times may be doing the same thing in reverse with David Brooks.

And then, there’s Bill O’Reilly himself. Columnist Matt Taibbi used a phrase to refer to a former congressman from Texas that works for Mr. Bill, too. And I still wonder how he managed to quelch that sexual harassment issue he was embroiled in.

What amazes me is how Fox News and other organs of the idiot-authoritarian right have been able to harness class-envy — which used to be the province of Marxists and militant organized labor — and redirect it back at intellectuals, artists, and people who support a progressive, liberal agenda. I remember reading somewhere about Bill O’Reilly getting into a snit because he was snubbed by another journalist, a journalist O’Reilly described as liberal and upper-middle class. O’Reilly described himself in the same article as ‘working-class’.

In reality, O’Reilly’s Dad was an accountant, and O’Reilly grew up in Levittown, or someplace like that. So it does make sense, if you think about it. A cheap-suit, low-ball accountant would have reason to envy both his betters at the office and the highly-paid union men down the street. The union men probably made as much or more money, yet had fewer demeaning political hoops to jump through than the delta dog in some office park pack.

The other Fox News personalities, none of whom I can name, also seem like a mixed-bag of loons. And many of them are downright strange-looking. I’m thinking of the guy whose eyes are too close together, and another guy whose forehead is unusually and strangely low — his hairline starts about 1.5 inches above his eyebrows. I guess these dudes were recruited because they were easy for the Fox viewer to identify with.

Who hasn’t envied someone more gracious, refined, attractive and intelligent than themselves? I know I’m not immune from this kind of thing. Fox News has taken this envy and given it a voice. And a debate strategy. Even office water-cooler political discussions seem to be getting nastier. Minions of the authoritarian right — the small-fry, me-too ditto-heads — have learned the same strategy that Hitler used with regular Army Generals, and that Lee Atwater recommended for liberals — just yell at ‘em.

So now, if the Fox viewer is confronted with someone smarter, better-looking, or more gracious than themselves, they don’t have to answer any of those tough, nauseating questions that they might come up with about themselves. All they have to do is yell at ‘em and tell them they don’t love America.

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Ten Recurring Economic Fallacies, 1774-2004

From the von Mises Institute, check it out. Highly recommended in these strange times of free market rhetoric coming from the biggest purveyors of big-government spending ever.

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Bush: Iraq Had Nothing To Do With 9/11

President Bush was in the midst of explaining how the attacks of 9/11 inspired his “freedom agenda” and the attacks on Iraq until a reporter, Ken Herman of Cox News, interrupted to ask what Iraq had to do with 9/11. “Nothing,” Bush defiantly answered.

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So there it is, straight from the horse’s mouth. It’s about time.

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Four-Fifths of U.S. High School Graduates Not Ready for College

Almost four-fifths of U.S. high school graduates failed to pass this year’s standard examinations designed to show their readiness for college, test designer ACT Inc. reported.

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After reading through this, what I get is that while the average scores are rising more quickly than at any time in the history of the test, a declining percentage of the total people taking the test are earning acceptable total scores.

My guess is that a very small percentage of the test-takers are earning very high scores. After adjusting for this, I think one would find that the average scores are declining. If a quant reading this disputes it, please speak up.

The single most important predictor of performance on standardized tests is family income, and within that, socio-economic status. Work-ethic has little to do with it.

Thirty years ago the fiction was that you couldn’t really prepare for standardized tests like the ACT and the SAT. Everybody now knows that this is bullshit. The tests can be prepped for and even gamed, if you know how.

The competition today among upper-middle class teenagers for slots at very selective universities is quite intense, and it’s common knowledge that many are willing to do whatever is necessary and within their means to get accepted at a top-tier school.

Students even see sympathetic doctors to get an Attention Deficit Disorder diagnosis, with their parent’s blessings, so they’ll get more time to take the SAT.

That cheating and other types of fraud play a larger role in standardized testing today goes without saying. So let’s factor that out and look at the people who more or less play the game by the rules.

Over the last 30 years, income disparity has also increased dramatically. People at the top of the income pyramid are earning much more than they were 30 years ago, while income at the middle and lower levels has remained level or even decreased.

Family income has a direct impact on standardized test scores because people with higher family incomes can afford to dedicate more resources to preparing for the test, both directly and indirectly.

Upper income families have the resources for high-quality classroom-based test preparation courses, private tutors, and even ‘life coaches’ who work with rich kids on every angle of the selective college admissions process.

Indirect resources include the general sense of safety, stability and mastery that comes from growing up in a very stable environment that is largely insulated from the vagaries of economic uncertainty. Upper middle class parents are far more likely to have family friends and acquaintances in high-status professions and thus a broader and much more fertile social network.

And then there’s the obvious stuff, like the fact that rich kids live in bigger houses, have more privacy and quiet for studying, a better diet, and better medical care.

All of these resources, direct and indirect, come together to create social capital, and the kids at the top have far more of this than the kids at the middle or near the bottom.

A kid from a home with $100,000 in per capita income and 2000 square feet with 1 bathroom per person is going to be much better equipped to excel on a standardized test than a kid from a home with $10000 per capita income and 200 square feet with .25 bathrooms per person.

So the fact that a few are doing a lot better on standardized test preparation while the majority do about the same or worse simply mirrors the current distribution of other resources. A lot of money is being spent at the top of the pyramid to beat these tests, while at the middle and lower range of the pyramid, life in general is getting harder all the time and dedicating resources to beating a standardized test becomes a lower priority, or impossible.

The relationship standardized test scores bear to education is fuzzy anyway, but more on that later. Let’s assume for now that the tests are a proxy for the quality of education in the country right now.

Holding teachers and school districts accountable for measurable results isn’t the answer. Bush’s ‘No Child Left Behind’ simply punishes school districts with poorer students and fewer resources. And metrics were made to be gamed. Ask any middle manager, or better yet an accountant for the details, if you don’t want to take my word for it.

Spending more money on education isn’t really the answer either. If we spend more on education, I can guarantee that the increase will find it’s way to the people who need it least.

What we really need to do is improve the underlying conditions that support education, and just about everything else. We need to see to it that people have adequate food, clothing, housing, and health care. Then we need to address income inequality with a more progressive tax system. And after that, perhaps we can begin to think about improving education.

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Bush will not endorse Republican opposing Lieberman

President George W. Bush gave a boost to Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman’s re-election bid as an independent by taking the rare step of refusing to endorse the Republican candidate running for Lieberman’s U.S. Senate seat.

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Jeez, that sounds like good news for everybody … except Lieberman.

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White House: Bird Flu Suspected in Michigan Geese

“U.S. officials believe that wild geese in Michigan may have been infected with a strain of the bird flu virus, but it is not thought to be a highly pathogenic strain and is one that has been seen previously in North America, the White House said on Monday.”

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This looks like another attempt to use a non-news event, i.e. a low-threat, previously identified strain of bird flu, to further a partisan political agenda. In this case, the agenda item is the federalization of the National Guard. I continue to be surprised that more people aren’t picking up on this, but then again half of us still believe that Iraq had WMD despite obvious facts indicating otherwise and half of us don’t know what DNA is, so why am I surprised?

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U.S., U.K. at odds over timing of arrests

NBC News has learned that U.S. and British authorities had a significant disagreement over when to move in on the suspects in the alleged plot to bring down airliners bound for the United States. A senior British official suggested an attack was not imminent, saying the suspects had not yet purchased any airline tickets, and some had no passports.

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Perhaps US officials had a partisan political motivation to push for arrests when they did, even though no attack was imminent. After all, the story did push the Lieberman/Lamont story below the fold. And it gave Lieberman a further opportunity to demonstrate his solidarity with the Bush administration by making pithy statements linking the war in Iraq with the thwarted terrorist attack.

Events like these give the Bush administration an opportunity to ratchet up the fear-factor and link even more unrelated events to the war in Iraq.

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Stress Can Shrink and Age Your Brain

New research is providing insight into how stress can shrink your brain cells and prematurely age your immune system.

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Poor people get sick and die sooner than people of higher socio-economic status. Likewise, there’s a very close correlation between socio-economic status and performance on standardized tests. I wonder why?

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We Believe In Evolution Less Than Other Western Countries…

People in the United States are much less likely to accept Darwin’s idea that humans evolved from apes than adults in other Western nations, a number of surveys show. A new study of those surveys suggests that the main reason for this lies in a unique confluence of religion, politics, and the public understanding of biological science in the US

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Fewer than half of American adults can provide a minimal definition of DNA, according to the authors. In a previous post I mentioned a wag on digg who pointed out that, by definition, 50% of the American population is below average in intelligence. In that post, the issue in question was Iraq and WMD. Half of the people here in the US still believe, despite all the evidence to the contrary, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction prior to the March, 2003 invasion by the US.

I would be willing to bet that, if someone chose to triangulate all of this, they would find that the 50% of the population that still believe in Iraqi WMD would correlate pretty closely with the 50% of the population who can’t provide a minimal definition of DNA …

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David Brooks, Why Must You Be So Mean?

Rite-Lite New York Times columnist David Brooks recently punked a group of unemployed middle-aged men, giving them the full-bore Bobos In Paradise treatment.

David Brooks seems decent and likeable. Those Bourgeois Bohemians he wrote about in ‘Bobos In Paradise’ made great fodder for humor. That whole book was screamingly funny, though I’m not sure the people he lampooned actually exist.

Bobos are like Welfare Queens and Limousine Liberals, great rhetorical devices with little basis in reality. I’m a liberal. Most of my friends are liberals. We’re small businessmen, convenience store clerks, library directors and construction laborers. We’re not Volvo Liberals. We’re Piece-Of-Shit Used Car Liberals.

The unemployed middle-aged men were very real, however, and profiled in a New York Times article called ‘Men Not Working and Not Wanting Just Any Job’

The men profiled include a former steel industry union representative, and a six-figure electrical engineer, formerly employed by Xerox.

The steel industry guy, Alan Beggerow, now 53, fills his days playing the piano, reading histories and biographies, writing Western novels in the Louis L’Amour style, and writing book reviews on Amazon.

Beggerow spent 30 years working for Northwestern Wire and Steel in Sterling, Ill., from 1971 until it closed in 2001. During the last three of those 30 years, Mr. Beggerow worked as a union representative on union-management teams that assessed every aspect of the plant’s operations.

There’s not a snowball’s chance in hell that Beggerow will find another job in central Illinois even remotely comparable to the one he had with Northwestern Wire and Steel, a company to whom he gave the best years of his life. In return, Northwestern Wire and Steel discarded him a dozen or so years short of retirement.

When the best possible outcome of a job-search is casual labor, fast-food, or retail, I don’t think it should come as a shock that people will opt out and try something else, even if it’s a long-shot. Mr. Priga, the electrical engineer, calls it ‘looking for the home run’.

Christopher Priga is an electrical engineer by training who worked in software engineering. A divorce in 1996 left him with custody of his three children. One of them had behavioral problems and to care for the boy he dropped out of steady work for a while, mortgaging his house to raise money and designing Web sites as a freelancer.

He re-entered the work force in 2000, joining Xerox at just over $100,000 a year as a systems designer for a new project, which did not last. In the aftermath of the dot-com bust, Xerox downsized and Mr. Priga was let go in January 2003.

At 54, it is extremely unlikely that Christopher Priga will land another six-figure software engineering job:

“I’ve been through a lot of layoffs over the years, and there is a certain procedure you follow,” he said. “You contact the headhunters. You go looking for other work. You do all of that, and this time around it didn’t work.”

A geek joke goes like this:

“What happens to engineers when they turn 40?”

“They’re taken outside and shot.”

Barbara Ehrenreich wrote about the pitfalls of attempting to re-enter the white-collar workforce in late middle-age. Her book, Bait and Switch bluntly details the scams, humiliations, and disappointments that confront people over forty who find themselves back on the job market, usually against their will.

I don’t know the specifics of David Brooks’ background, but I’d be willing to bet that someone who grew up on Manhattan and attended the University Of Chicago knows little or nothing of what life is like for the working poor.

For the working poor, the absence of job security and autonomy of any kind is absolute. You are literally out of control, buffeted by circumstance.

For Mr. Brooks, I recommend another book by Barbara Ehrenreich, Nickel and Dimed, or if TV is his thing, the episode of 30 Days in which Morgan Spurlock and his girlfriend do the minimum wage shuffle for a month.

For Mr. Priga and Mr. Beggerow, life among the working poor is both the best and the worst that the job market can offer them. So who can blame them for looking for something else, another way out?

Meanwhile, Brooks is at his most tight-assed and nasty with this:

“Many readers no doubt observed that if today’s prostate-aged moochers wanted to loaf around all day reading books and tossing off their vacuous opinions into the ether, they should have had the foresight to become newspaper columnists.”

Or perhaps they should have had the foresight to grow up on Manhattan and attend the University of Chicago. Brooks, after all, managed to lift himself by his bootstraps all the way from Manhattan to The University Of Chicago.

And then there’s this:

“What I see is a migration of values. Once upon a time, middle-class men would have defined their dignity by their ability to work hard, provide for their family and live as self-reliant members of society. But these fellows, to judge by their quotations, define their dignity the same way the subjects of Thorstein Veblen’s The Theory Of The Leisure Class defined theirs. They define their dignity by the loftiness of their thinking. They define their dignity not by their achievement, but by their personal enlightenment, their autonomy, by their distance from anything dishonorably menial or compulsory.”

From where I sit, Mr. Beggerow is taking some lemons and making lemonade. He’s working hard, has accomplished quite a bit, and he remains self-reliant. First and foremost, he’s survived 30 years in a steel mill, which, I’ll remind Mr. Brooks, involves surviving considerable physical risk. Second, he’s taught himself the piano as an adult. And third, he’s written two novels. Two more than Mr. Brooks.

Sure, it’s a long shot, but who knows, one of those two novels may sell. Or he may write another one that does. Piano lessons go for $45 an hour, and people look for piano lessons everywhere, even central Illinois. When the sure-thing and the worst-case are the same, why not go for the long-shot?

Mr. Priga may never earn a corporate salary again as a software engineer, but he is a man with considerable experience and intellectual resources. For him, the home-run he’s looking for may be a technology startup that would be lucky and thankful to have him.

The tone of Brooks’ column on the article tried for funny but came out nasty. The article itself is also puckered and acerbic. It’s almost like the authors are jealous of these middle-aged dudes, the techie and the blue-collar who had the stones to stand up and say, “Fuck it, hell no. I won’t go to work at WalMart. I’m better than that.” And then these old dudes had the further audacity to spend their days reading, writing and playing music.

These two guys remind me of Travis McGee, the John D. MacDonald character. McGee worked only when he needed the money. Once he accumulated a chunk of cash, he’d take a corresponding chunk of ‘retirement’. His theory was why wait and retire when you’re old and sick? Why not take an installment of that retirement now, when you’re still young enough to enjoy it?

The sad truth is that both Mr. Priga and Mr. Beggerow will probably find themselves at WalMart or worse eventually. But these two men, like most men over 50 may be only a colonoscopy or chest-xray away from a death sentence. They have worked hard and played by the rules all their lives and a brief respite has presented itself. They are truly alive now and living as men, probably for the first time in their lives. So I’m with them. I say go for it. And fuck David Brooks.

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